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Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
10-20-2008, 01:50 PM,
#1
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
Quote:Climate change is happening much faster than the world's best scientists predicted and will wreak havoc unless action is taken on a global scale, a new report warns.

[Image: arctic_melt_460_1011890c.jpg]

'Extreme weather events' such as the hot summer of 2003, which caused an extra 35,000 deaths across southern Europe from heat stress and poor air quality, will happen more frequently.

Britain and the North Sea area will be hit more often by violent cyclones and the predicted rise in sea level will double to more than a metre, putting vast coastal areas at risk from flooding.

The bleak report from WWF - formerly the World Wildlife Fund - also predicts crops failures and the collapse of eco systems on both land and sea.

And it calls on the EU to set an example to the rest of the world by agreeing a package of challenging targets for cutting greenhouse gas emissions to tackle the consequences of climate change and to keep any increase in global temperatures below 2C.

The agency says that the 2007 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) - a study of global warming by 4,000 scientists from more than 150 countries which alerted the world to the possible consequences of global warming - is now out of date.

WWF's report, Climate Change: Faster, stronger, sooner, has updated all the scientific data and concluded that global warming is accelerating far beyond the IPCC's forecasts.

As an example it says the first 'tipping point' may have already been reached in the Arctic, where sea ice is disappearing up to 30 years ahead of IPCC predictions and may be gone completely within five years - something that hasn't occurred for a million years.

It could result in rapid and abrupt climate change rather than the gradual changes forecast by the IPCC.

The findings include:

* Global sea level rise could more than double from the IPCC's estimate of 0.59m by the end of the century.

* Natural carbon sinks, such as forests and oceans, are losing their ability to absorb CO2 from the atmosphere faster than expected.

* Rising temperatures have already led to a major reduction in food crops resulting in losses of 40m tonnes of grain per year.

* Marine ecosystems in the North and Baltic Sea are being exposed to the warmest temperatures measured since records began.

* The number and intensity of extreme cyclones over the UK and North Sea are projected to increase, leading to increased wind speeds and storm-related losses over Western and Central Europe.

The report was issued to coincide with a meeting of EU Environment Ministers today to discuss new laws aimed at tackling climate change. Some countries, including Italy and Poland, have already rejected proposals for higher cuts in emissions claiming they are unaffordable and unrealistic when many countries are facing recession.

The UK is the only country so far to commit to a legally binding 80 per cent cut in emissions by 2050 which the Government claims can be achieved by a switch to renewable energy sources - such as wind and wave - combined with a new generation of nuclear power stations.

In the report WWF urges the EU to commit to a reduction target of at least 30 per cent below 1990 levels by 2020 without relying on offsetting overseas and to provide financial support so developing countries can cut their own emissions and prepare for unavoidable impacts of climate change.

WWF-UK's Head of Climate Change, Dr. Keith Allott, said: "Climate change is a major challenge to the future of mankind and the environment, and this sobering overview highlights just how critical it is that EU environment ministers, who are meeting today to discuss EU legislation to tackle climate change, commit to a strong climate and energy package, in order to ensure a low carbon future.

"If the European Union wants to be seen as leader at UN talks in Copenhagen next year, and to help secure a strong global deal to tackle climate change after 2012, then it must stop shirking its responsibilities and commit to real emissions cuts within Europe."

The report has been endorsed by Professor Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, the newly elected Vice Chair of the IPCC, who said: "It is clear that climate change is already having a greater impact than most scientists had anticipated, so it's vital that international mitigation and adaptation responses become swifter and more ambitious."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/...han-feared.html
The revolution is not an apple that falls when it is ripe. You have to make it fall. - Che Guevara

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10-25-2008, 12:08 AM, (This post was last modified: 10-25-2008, 12:46 AM by JazzRoc.)
#2
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
TriWooOx date Oct 20 2008, 01:50 PM post 151598
Climate change is happening much faster than the world's best scientists predicted and will wreak havoc unless action is taken on a global scale, a new report warns.

"Much faster than the world's best scientists predicted" is an interesting phrase. I think you will find that the precise "verbiage" included DID NOT EXCLUDE what follows.

'Extreme weather events' such as the hot summer of 2003, which caused an extra 35,000 deaths across southern Europe from heat stress and poor air quality, will happen more frequently.

That, when you think about it, isn't actually any sort of extreme statement.

Britain and the North Sea area will be hit more often by violent cyclones and the predicted rise in sea level will double to more than a metre, putting vast coastal areas at risk from flooding.

Huh, nor is this. (Oh, yes, I can personally remember the Lynmouth disaster in, er, 1952 - ish. And was it Canvey Island in 1953, and maybe the Norfolk Broads 1954?)

The bleak report from WWF - formerly the World Wildlife Fund - also predicts crops failures and the collapse of eco-systems on both land and sea.

Eco-systems collapse all the time. Earth is big enough to support seven, er, hundred, er, million such sets of "systems"'. (Part of the problem here is seeing that individual species cannot be part of several "eco-systems".)

And it calls on the EU to set an example to the rest of the world by agreeing a package of challenging targets for cutting greenhouse gas emissions to tackle the consequences of climate change and to keep any increase in global temperatures below 2C.

Well, personally I would have hoped that Britain had led the World by doing so - but that was before I had proceeded beyond my naive (innocent) phase.

As far as any (enculturalised) Brit is concerned, that would be the next logical step. But, unfortunately, in "politics" NO logic rules except the "scissors, paper, stone" of direct ongoing "pressure" - against which a great moral strength must prevail in order to escape the forces of CORRUPTION.

It is true, that in essence, under such prevailing pressures that the powerfully-motivated types among us would endure, no-one who is truly free of (died of boredom at this point)

The agency says that the 2007 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) - a study of global warming by 4,000 scientists from more than 150 countries which alerted the world to the possible consequences of global warming - is now out of date.
Well, fuck me for a load of fish....

WWF's report, Climate Change: Faster, stronger, sooner, has updated all the scientific data and concluded that global warming is accelerating far beyond the IPCC's forecasts.
"Well, that's good for a few lunches, then!"

As an example it says the first 'tipping point' may have already been reached in the Arctic, where sea ice is disappearing up to 30 years ahead of IPCC predictions and may be gone completely within five years - something that hasn't occurred for a million years.
And, when you think about it, a "milliion years" has only turned up FOUR THOUSAND TIMES.

It could result in rapid and abrupt climate change rather than the gradual changes forecast by the IPCC.
Whoaah! Faster than usual, ay?

* Global sea level rise could more than double from the IPCC's estimate of 0.59m by the end of the century.
Whew! Only one point one centimetres each year.

* Natural carbon sinks, such as forests and oceans, are losing their ability to absorb CO2 from the atmosphere faster than expected.
Gosh! That frightens me! Just think what the competition between thousands of millions of trees must be!

* Rising temperatures have already led to a major reduction in food crops resulting in losses of 40m tonnes of grain per year.
What a grin. It seems that Human thought application must be at a premium. (I wonder if the "locals" are aware of this?)(My arse!)

* Marine ecosystems in the North and Baltic Sea are being exposed to the warmest temperatures measured since records began.
That would be typical of "a bit of stirring".

* The number and intensity of extreme cyclones over the UK and North Sea are projected to increase, leading to increased wind speeds and storm-related losses over Western and Central Europe.
Whatever a " storm-related loss" is, I'm sure human integrity will overcome it.

The report was issued to coincide with a meeting of EU Environment Ministers today to discuss new laws aimed at tackling climate change. Some countries, including Italy and Poland, have already rejected proposals for higher cuts in emissions claiming they are unaffordable and unrealistic when many countries are facing recession.
Hardly surprising. Christ! - did I just fall asleep?

The UK is the only country so far to commit to a legally binding 80 per cent cut in emissions by 2050 which the Government claims can be achieved by a switch to renewable energy sources - such as wind and wave - combined with a new generation of nuclear power stations.

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahqhaqhahhahahhahqhquiwqg (it all ends in tears)

In the report WWF urges the EU to commit to a reduction target of at least 30 per cent below 1990 levels by 2020 without relying on offsetting overseas and to provide financial support so developing countries can cut their own emissions and prepare for unavoidable impacts of climate change.

In other words, TO SIMPLY START.

WWF-UK's Head of Climate Change, Dr. Keith Allott, said: "Climate change is a major challenge to the future of mankind and the environment, and this sobering overview highlights just how critical it is that EU environment ministers, who are meeting today to discuss EU legislation to tackle climate change, commit to a strong climate and energy package, in order to ensure a low carbon future.

In other words, TO SIMPLY START.

"If the European Union wants to be seen as leader at UN talks in Copenhagen next year, and to help secure a strong global deal to tackle climate change after 2012, then it must stop shirking its responsibilities and commit to real emissions cuts within Europe."

In other words, TO SIMPLY START.

The report has been endorsed by Professor Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, the newly elected Vice Chair of the IPCC, who said: "It is clear that climate change is already having a greater impact than most scientists had anticipated, so it's vital that international mitigation and adaptation responses become swifter and more ambitious."

In other words, TO SIMPLY START.

THIS IS AN ATHEIST SPEAKING. PLEASE GOD HELP US.
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10-26-2008, 09:20 PM,
#3
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
http://www.iceagenow.com/List_of_Expanding_Glaciers.htm


MMM
Give me the judgment of balanced minds in preference to laws every time. Codes and manuals create patterned behavior. All patterned behavior tends to go unquestioned, gathering destructive momentum.
- Darwi Odrade
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12-22-2008, 11:53 AM,
#4
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
Quote:http://www.iceagenow.com/List_of_Expanding_Glaciers.htm


MMM
Yes indeed. What of sea levels?
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12-22-2008, 07:51 PM,
#5
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
Quote:
Quote:Climate change is happening much faster than the world's best scientists predicted and will wreak havoc unless action is taken on a global scale, a new report warns.

[Image: arctic_melt_460_1011890c.jpg]

On the left we see the arctic ice caps in WINTER 1979, on the right we have SUMMER 2007. Ice caps are much bigger at winter. See, they treat you like 8-year-olds.
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12-23-2008, 03:09 AM,
#6
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
Lush plant life and exotic wild animals. Formal dinners and luxury accommodations. Twenty five adventurous days in 11 different countries, all reached by private jet. Sounds like a great vacation, sure, but also an expensive exercise in hypocrisy by the World Wildlife Fund.

The organization does an admirable job protecting the world's flora and fauna from the impact of human development and global climate change. We applaud so noble a cause, but it is hard to take the WWF seriously when it organizes a fundraising trip that will spew 1,200 tons of carbon dioxide shuttling well-heeled donors around the globe on a private jet.


The WWF says the tour allows adventurous travelers — those who can pony up the $64,950 ticket price, anyway — to "touch down in some of the most astonishing places on the planet to see the top wildlife, including gorillas, orangutans, rhinos, lemurs and toucans."

Good thing they aren't planning to visit any glaciers.

While the whole thing is way over the top, it's the private jet that really gets us. The 88-seat, luxuriously appointed jet will transport passengers on a whirlwind tour with stops in such far-flung places as the Amazon, Easter Island, Chile, Malaysia, Laos, Nepal and London.

We're not sure what kind of plane the WWF is using — the sales pitch says only that it is "a specially outfitted private jet." But an excellent piece by Steven Milloy in JunkScience notes that flying the 36,000 mile route in a Boeing 757 would burn about 100,000 gallons of jet fuel and produce more than 1,200 tons of CO2. Milloy says that's the same as putting 1,560 SUVs on the road for the three weeks the eco-adventurers are jetting around the world. He uses the WWF's carbon footprint calculator to estimate it would cost $44,000 to offset the emissions — though the WWF's brochure (.pdf) doesn't say anything about offsets.

It gets even harder to take once you read the WWF's mission statement, which states it is committed to "protecting natural areas and wild populations of plants and animals, including endangered species; promoting sustainable approaches to the use of renewable natural resources; and promoting more efficient use of resources and energy and the maximum reduction of pollution."

http://blog.wired.com/cars/2008/10/world-wildlife.html
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12-23-2008, 03:13 AM,
#7
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
This should answer the rising sea level. If that were true, why would they do this?

Manufacturing Real Estate - Dubai shows the World how to make Artificial Realty

October 16, 2004 God made the world in seven days for an undisclosed cost, and now man has recreated it for a steal. Artificial reality has taken on a whole new slant with developments in habitat and ecosystem creation by the Dubai based Nakheel Corporation, which is creating their own customised islands for sale. Once the stuff of science fiction, terraforming is now an affordable reality as real estate can be designed and shaped to the most outrageous whim. Nakheel have gone so far as creating an artificial archipelago that replicates a scale model of the world with all major land masses, as well as replicas of lost cities from different parts of the ancient world that have to be seen to be believed.

Surrounded by the Arabian Gulf and year round sunshine, the climate of Dubai is drawing in a record number of visitors and residents and the real estate market is booming. There's some keen fiscal management behind all the real estate, as the Dubai government is keeping interest rates and property prices low to attract foreign investment and residency. With an 8% GDP growth rate Dubai can barely keep up with the demand for housing - which is why they are creating new real estate from scratch!

Two visionary artificial island environments have been created just off the coast of Dubai - the "Palm, Jebel Ali" and the "Palm Jumeirah", both palm tree shaped land masses surrounded by hemispherical reefs. Time lapse photography allows you to watch the fascinating growth of these man made island paradises as they rise from the sea like Atlantis in reverse, are customised and developed for luxury living, with five star hotels and exclusive retail outlets dotted along the trunk of the palm.

The third environment is "The World", which consists of 300 man made islands in the shape of continents - but unlike the overcrowded original, each island in this world is up for private sale.

This can be broken down into a collection of estate homes for a community of weekenders or year round residents, resorts, or the perfect island sanctuary for those who can afford it. Miniature replicas of England, Shanghai, even Tasmania are up for grabs as location is still everything - even on the small scale.

The imagination is let loose populating the World, with Nakheel encouraging micro versions of global environments on each of the World's islands, from full scale replicas of Caribbean ships to European castle resorts and even an African game preserve. Nakheel water patrol security will ensure the safety of residents while exclusive water taxis will ferry guests between islands day and night.

On the mainland, Nakheel has again stretched the boundaries of the imagination with it's "Lost City" development (Located in Jebel Ali, near Nakheel's other signature developments the Gardens Shopping Mall and Discovery Gardens, the Lost City is a recreation of history through architecture. Properties feature fresh water streams flowing near the homes in a recreation of ancient styles from the Fertile Crescent of the Middle East to places as far as the Orient and Mediterranean Africa, or totally transformed environments to your brief.

Greg Norman has even designed a world class golf course exclusive to the property. Nakheel has invested enormous detail in the project, sending engineers to archaeological sites to copy the layout, styles and building materials used by the Old World and combining them with 21st century comfort and convenience for modern needs.

It used to be said that 'no man is an island', but thanks to Nakheel, every man can now own and design one.

http://www.gizmag.com/go/3310/

and this

http://www.human-global-warming.co.uk/glob...-sea-level.html
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12-23-2008, 05:45 PM,
#8
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
Quote:This should answer the rising sea level.
http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2008/12/ho...ibe_this_gr.php

Quote:If that were true, why would they do this?
Because they're money-grubbing gits.
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12-23-2008, 06:18 PM,
#9
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
[Image: MSUCRUCO2.jpg]


check picture link for site..

----


http://cce.890m.com/solar-cosmic-rays/


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12-24-2008, 12:50 AM,
#10
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
Hey, somebody's tilted my graph!

What about storm frequency and intensities?
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12-24-2008, 03:42 AM, (This post was last modified: 12-24-2008, 03:44 AM by ---.)
#11
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
LOL It'd be a bit of an overloaded graph don't you think? I'm sure they'll be recorded online somewhere from which a corollary can be made..
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12-25-2008, 01:03 AM,
#12
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
EXTREME WEATHER
Most of the potentially damaging consequences relating to climate change are associated with extremes - the number of heat waves, floods, or severe storms, for example. Since extreme weather events cause loss of life and property, it is important to understand what impact global warming may have on their occurrence.

Global climate change has different effects on different regions of the Earth. Although regional climate forecasts are improving, they are still uncertain. However, we know that a warmer atmosphere will result in a greater number of tropical storms, extreme heat waves, floods and droughts.

Intense tropical cyclone activity has increased since 1970 in the North Atlantic and is projected to worsen, because tropical storms are powered by factors affected by climate change. In order to occur, tropical storms need warm ocean temperatures, no strong changes in wind speed or direction, and high humidity. Two of these factors have increased as a result of global warming; oceans have become warmer, and humidity and water vapor have increased 4% since 1970 because warm air holds more vapor than cold air.

Hurricanes occur when surface temperatures exceed 79° F (26°C). As moist, hot air rises, the lower air pressure at sea level pulls the surrounding air into a rotating pattern. Then, the water-vapor laden air spirals and rises to the higher altitudes that cool it and releases heat as it condenses into rain. Hurricanes are fed by evaporation and condensation, which bring the ocean’s heat energy into the vortex.

Hurricanes have become more destructive in both the Atlantic and the Pacific. In 2005, a study showed that tropical cyclone wind speed and duration over the last 30 years had increased by 70%. Another study conducted in 2006 showed a 60% increase in the destructiveness of tropical storms from 1958-2001. The study correlated the rise in mean annual tropical sea surface temperatures (0.45° F / 0.25° C) to the intensification of tropical storms. Deeper levels of warmer water have also intensified tropical storms because dragging up colder water from beneath the surface can be a stopping factor. However, when Hurricane Katrina hit the deep pools of warm water in the Gulf of Mexico, it became more powerful, when it might have been stopped by a pool of cold water.

Recent events have shown the disastrous effects of extreme weather. Hurricane Katrina caused a loss of 338 square kilometers (210 square miles) of coastal wetlands, levees and islands. 1,800 people died, 300,000 homes were destroyed, and total economic losses are estimated at $100 billion. The December 26, 2004 Tsunami resulted in more than 150,000 people dead or missing, and left millions homeless in eleven different countries.

Greater numbers of heat waves but fewer periods of extreme cold are likely consequences of a warmer atmosphere. The climatological record of the past several decades offers evidence for these trends. While most recent winters in North America and Asia have been milder than average, a number of countries have experienced record heat waves. A heat wave in May of 2002 claimed over 600 lives in India as temperatures soared to 122 F (50° C). A global rise in temperatures increases the possibility that more deadly heat waves such as these will occur.

One of the most important physical consequences of a warmer atmosphere is an increased capacity to hold moisture. According to the Clausius-Clapeyron relation, the amount of water vapor that can be stored in the atmosphere increases rapidly with temperature. A warmer planet is also most likely a wetter planet, as more evaporation could occur.

An increase in the frequency or intensity of floods would be catastrophic in several places around the world. Perhaps no country is more vulnerable than Bangladesh. Over 17 million people live at an elevation of less than 3 ft (1 m) above sea level, and millions more inhabit the flat banks of the Ganges and Brahmaputra Rivers. Past floods have displaced millions in Bangladesh, so increased flooding there would have tragic results. Other nations, including China and Vietnam, have experienced floods killing thousands and causing billions in property damage within the past few years.

While average global rainfall is predicted to increase under global warming, not every point on the planet would experience greater rainfall. Evaporation and precipitation occur at different places, and while wet regions could receive even more rainfall if the planet warms, drier regions may have even more acute shortages of water as evaporation is accelerated in those areas. The Sahel, for example, has become drier over the past several decades, accelerating desertification and placing an even greater premium on already-stretched water supplies.

As research continues into the effects of global climate change on extreme weather, it is important to consider the human and economic toll of extreme weather events. A potential increase in frequency or intensity of these events is another strong reason why we must take action to counteract global climate change.


http://www.climate.org/topics/extreme-weather/index.html
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12-25-2008, 01:18 AM, (This post was last modified: 12-25-2008, 04:14 AM by ---.)
#13
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
There's no doubt that changes in climatic conditions impact on weather systems,producing more extremes..the question still remains as to whether co2 is the principle driver and whether we ought not spend some focus on cooling trends too.imo.
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12-25-2008, 04:08 AM,
#14
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
Climate change is a fact, but it is in cycles. Pollution is real and a problem, nobody's argueing that. Like Nik said though, in climate change, it must be looked at as a whole. My wife and I farm 100% naturally and respect the land, as most should. I don't think this Global Warming thing has anything to do with cleaning up anything except people's pockets, freedoms, independance, and place blame on individuals.
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12-28-2008, 12:35 PM, (This post was last modified: 12-28-2008, 12:38 PM by JazzRoc.)
#15
Climate change is 'faster and more extreme' than feared
I don't believe that anyone knows the truth about CO2's function in GW.

The simulation and prediction of the Earth's weather appears to be a calculation with too many unknown variables and functions and tipping points of various sorts within it.

However, we ARE conducting an open experiment with it at the moment, using fossil carbon which would be put to better use being converted to polyethylene, which is almost indefinitely reusable, and extremely useful both as an electron and a water vapor barrier in an "enlightened" world (which we do not have).

As I seem to find myself insisting over and over again, NO "supervisory body" of any sort can exercise ANY practical control of any sort over individuals who have already set their course for absolute self-sufficiency - those who have already cut their ties and bonds about where they get their water, food, and power. With a satellite receiver (useful until the satellites come down!), and an encoded RTTY transceiver, such people are FREE, and no longer a burden to anyone else.

You could be well on the way, Hilly. Merry Xmas.
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