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The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
06-24-2011, 03:49 AM,
#1
Information  The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
Excerpts from an article on what many of us have been warning about, been wary of and have picked apart and voiced protest against in other threads (see end of post). The tech writer (David Gerrold) is obviously all for the tracked hive species and every thing from remote control to robots to total surveillance. That said it's an interesting read. Enter the spin zone.

Quote:The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
Posted 06/21/2011 at 5:19pm | by David Gerrold

A few years ago, my buddy, Robert Sawyer postulated that because we now use computers as a critical tool for research, Moore’s Law applies to scientific accomplishment as well.

He started with a simple postulate—assume that in the first decade of the 21st century we have already accomplished as much scientific advancement as we accomplished in the entire 20th century—amazing discoveries in astronomy, paleontology, materials, medicine, robotics, etc.

Now, let’s try a thought experiment. If we apply Moore’s law and assume that the rate of scientific advancement doubles at the same rate as the computer power that we apply to research, then we can project that we will likely accomplish a whole 20th century’s worth of scientific advancement in 5 years—by 2015. As the rate continues to double, we’ll accomplish a century’s work in 2.5 years, then 1.25 years, 7.5 months, 3 months and 3 weeks, then a smidge less than two months, one month, two weeks, one week, then 3.5 days, 1.75 days, and if you ignore Zeno’s paradox, by the end of 2020 we will be accomplishing a century’s worth of research every day, and two weeks later, every second. And after that…?

Will that be when The Singularity occurs?

...

Graphene

.. Researchers at IBM have already demonstrated high-speed circuits on a graphene substrate. What happens when we move from gigaherz processors to teraherz processors? Yes, everything we do now will be faster, effectively instantaneous, but just as the gigaherz CPU made speech recognition and photo-editing and video processing practical what other labor-intensive tasks will the teraherz CPU be able to handle without breaking into a sweat? Add parallel processing to that and we’re talking hellaflops.

But more than that, graphene has incredible physical strength. Researchers at Columbia University have proven that graphene is the strongest material ever measured, some 200 times stronger than structural steel. Quote: “It would take an elephant, balanced on a pencil, to break through a sheet of graphene the thickness of saran wrap.” Other scientists have layered multiple graphene sheets into a paper-like form that is six times lighter than steel, two times harder, has 10 times higher tensile strength and 13 times higher bending rigidity....

Super-Cables

...Considering the cost of boosting even a single pound into orbit, such a cable will have to be manufactured in space and that means the factory to build it will also have to be built in space. At the moment, we can’t afford to lift that much weight out of the gravity well. It could be a trillion dollar investment. And the recovery of that cost could take generations. The economics of an orbital elevator, as well as the physics, are enormous challenges. Overall, the sheer outlandishness of the idea may be one of the reasons why it hasn’t captured the public imagination, so it may be that launch catapults (or some other technology) will be more cost-effective in the meantime. A practical beanstalk doesn’t seem likely in the foreseeable future—but remember that as late as 1960, most futurists (science fiction writers) still thought that the first moon landing wouldn’t occur until sometime in the 90’s, so maybe we could be similarly surprised.

Much more likely, the first uses of super-cables in space will probably be tethered satellites or even whirling bolos slinging vehicles and probes out toward the other planets, but the real impact will be here on Earth long before that...

Robots

...What the end-product will look like, however, is still a work in progress. We can imagine robots being put to work in the house, in business, in construction, in entertainment, in rescue operations, and certainly for military applications as well. But the first humanoid robots are likely to be simple, stupid, and disappointing—they’re also going to be expensive. People will see them as a good idea, but unable to live up to promises and expectations. Vista on legs.

Nevertheless, robots are inevitable. The first widespread use of robots will be in theme parks. Disneyland and Universal will use robots to portray creatures like dinosaurs and giants and dwarves. You can expect to see robot dancers in music videos too, but the real breakthrough will occur when robots start taking on more mundane tasks. We’ll see them as bartenders or aides for the sick and elderly. Robots could be put to work in hotels—you try changing sheets, lifting twenty or thirty mattresses a day. At the point a robot is cheaper than hiring a human, it’s inevitable. The job market will change when whole classes of human workers could become redundant.

And don’t forget Gerrold’s umpteenth law: Whatever technology humans invent, humans will also find a way to use that same technology for sex. So robotic sex partners are also inevitable—in brothels, for overnight rental, or even for purchase. (There was a young man from Racine, who invented a screwing machine. Concave or convex, it could serve either sex, entertaining itself in-between.) Because robots don’t get headaches. It is also possible that eventually, we will use robots as real-world avatars—surrogates—sending them out into the world to run errands for us, with remote control available where necessary....

Flying Cars

(pass -- they are called airplanes)

Bio-Fabbing

Imagine a printer that operates in three dimensions, building up solid objects a layer at a time. Such printers exist and are used for making prototypes and models. Depending on what kind of material can be layered and the resolution of the printer, it might be possible to print up objects as mundane as toasters or as rare as star sapphires. (We might not have to wait for Robby the Robot to crystallize the gems.)

But even more important, we’re on the threshold of being able to fabricate living tissue. Researchers have already demonstrated that they can print living cells onto a collagen framework to create specific tissues and even whole functioning organs. We might eventually be able to grow our own replacement organs in the lab—skin, hearts, lungs, kidneys, livers, ears, hands, feet, arms, legs—and not have to wait for some unfortunate motorcyclist to lose an encounter with an SUV. We could see this happening within ten years. Could we grow whole new bodies…? We won’t know until we get there, but once upon a time a heart transplant was unthinkable too.

Beyond that, being able to print living tissue could revolutionize agriculture. Why breed a whole cow when you can grow a steak in a bio-fab factory? Once the process is perfected and the product is approved safe for human consumption, a bio-engineered filet could be cheaper, safer, and healthier than meat produced the old-fashioned way. And a lot more humane. But why stop at steak? We could grow any cut of meat we wanted, and probably far more economically than raising a whole animal. Want some fresh dolphin or whale meat? Elephant? Panda? (Even cannibals might be able to legally … never mind.)

Of course, we’d still maintain herds of all kinds for genetic diversity, but we wouldn’t need to destroy the rain forests of the world to create more pasture for more cattle to feed the world’s growing appetite for meat. This one is a no-brainer. It’s not just a growth industry, it’s a growth industry. As the world’s population continues to grow, factory farms may be our only hope for avoiding a food crisis. We might see this before 2020.

Universal Smart-Tech

Internet Protocol Version 6 is already here. We’re switching over now. Prior to IPV6, internet addresses were limited to 32 bits. Under IPV6, internet addresses are 128 bits. This means that there are now 2128 possible internet addresses (340 undecillion), or in more understandable terms “umpty hella-gazillion”—enough so that every living human being on the planet could have 5*1028 separate and specific domains.

What this means in practice is that every thing on the planet worth anything at all, manufactured, grown, discovered, studied, observed, or born, can have its own web address and associated locater-chip. Can’t find your car keys? Just ask your phone where they are. Want to know where your steak came from, what lab it was grown in, what nutrients were in the tank, and who inspected it? That’s available too, ask your phone.

Your car will be able to drive itself so you can talk on the phone, read a book, or watch TV—it will converse with the vehicles around it, informing them when it needs to change lanes, and all the cars will adjust to maintain safe distances. Want to know where your teenager is at 12:30am? You’ll be able to track his location easily—and if he’s out street-racing, you’ll have evidence of that too.

Want to know how much cash is in your wallet? Ask your phone. Why is there a twenty missing? Your phone will tell you that one of the twenties was removed from your wallet while you were in the shower and is currently in the pocket of your sixteen year-old son. Want him to come home now? Tell the car to bring him home safely.

Had your purse stolen? Ask your phone to alert the police. The thief will be picked up momentarily. Had your car stolen and taken to a chop shop? The police will know where every single piece of it went.

Just bought insurance and need to inventory your physical property for a rate adjustment? Ask your phone. You can print out a list of everything you own, when you bought it, how much you paid, what it’s worth now, and what the replacement cost would be in case of fire, flood, earthquake, tornado, or asteroid impact.

Can’t find your phone? Ask the refrigerator.

But wait, it gets better. Humans will be chipped too, just like dogs, cats, and cattle. Can’t remember the name of that little restaurant you liked in New York? No problem, your personal life history is stored in the cloud. We can remember it for you wholesale. Sign up for Apple’s iMemory service.

Catching rapists, muggers, thieves, and murderers will be a lot easier. The cloud will maintain a location-tracking service of everyone, chipped or not. There will be cameras everywhere. Court trials will have a whole new level of evidentiary standards.

Here's how the singularity will happen

There’s this thing called “emergent behavior.” It means that complex patterns and events can arise out of relatively simple interactions. One ant is one ant, but a whole colony of ants behaves like a gigantic multi-cellular organism—that’s emergent behavior. One car slows down at a curve in the highway at five in the morning, it’s one car—but twelve hours later, when there are hundreds of cars on the same highway, you get a standing wave in the traffic flow, a wave that actually travels backward from the source—that’s emergent behavior. One person goes to the bathroom and flushes the toilet, no problem—but in the early days of television, when I Love Lucy broke for a commercial and a million New Yorkers all went to the bathroom all at the same time, the reservoir levels visibly lowered—that’s emergent behavior.

When the whole world is linked in a massive network of chairs and trash cans and lawn mowers and refrigerators and cars and streetlights and smartphones and supermarket packages and pants and skirts and underwear and even shoes and socks (no more lost socks?!)—when the whole world is totally immersed in a global web of interconnections, when even dollar bills are monitored for their travels through the economy, there will be emergent behavior.

All of these separate chips will have software-specific functions. Your shirts will tell the wash machine how they want to be washed. Your frozen dinner will tell the microwave how long it needs to be cooked. Your shoes will tell you when they need to be re-soled. Your internal monitors will warn you of diabetes and gout and heart disease. The menu at the restaurant will advise you on your healthiest choices.

All of this data—not just yours, everyone’s—will get sucked into the cloud, massaged, shared, digested, fiddled and diddled, jiggled and juggled, sorted and ported, creating the most accurate real-time census possible. Trends of all kinds—social, political, economic, cultural, biological—will be recognized first by the cloud and responded to even before humans are aware. The buying habits of millions will tell industry just how many boxes of Cheerios to produce and how many Kinects to manufacture. A super-intelligent cloud will advise producers whether or not it’s cost-effective to produce. Before you go shopping for a car or a house or even a new TV, your phone will let you know if you can really afford it. And even more personal, your health-care will be automatically triaged based on the availability of doctors and based on your previous record of cooperation with preventive medicine.

The super-intelligent cloud won’t have consciousness as we understand it. But if Marvin Minsky’s theory (Society Of Mind, by Marvin Minsky) is correct—that sentience occurs as a product of multiple interrelated subroutines—then eventually the super-intelligent cloud will begin to function not just as a monitor of all the data flowing through it, but as a mentor as well.

The Singularity—as I see it—will inherit all the best and all the worst traits of the species that produces it. It will come into existence as an assemblage of software mechanisms designed to serve our fundamental wants and needs, but it will evolve. And because the essential goal of life is to survive, it will most likely evolve into a symbiotic consciousness with humanity. And if that happens, then it will have a built-in bias to keep us functioning at our best.

We’ll see. It will happen in our lifetimes.
Full Article: http://www.maximumpc.com/article/features/singularity_five_technologies_will_change_world_and_one_wont

Good Blog on Technological Singularity in relation to law, privacy and commerce.

Singularity Law
The Information Technology Law Blog and Podcast by Professor Michael Scott
http://singularitylaw.com/

Related:

Biofabrication

Printing Skin
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=38107

Printing Food
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=36854

Holographic Print
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=36345

Universal Smart Tech

Internet is running out of IP addresses!
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=37193

Smart Dust: HP & Shell to deploy Central Nervous System for Earth (CeNSE) via 1T Micro-Sensors + DARPA and Honeywell
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=33737

Jesse Schell - DICE 2010: Design Outside the Box (Disturbing Presentation) (torrent)
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=34080

Graphene

Plasma Energy and Anti-Gravity Applications - M.T. Keshe
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=39758 (torrent)

Robots

Inventor unveils $7,000 talking sex robot
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=31294

one molecule tiny robot nano spiders created out of DNA
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=32907

Robot wars: The rise of artificial intelligence
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=5883

Robot teacher conducts first class in Tokyo school A robot schoolteacher
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=3183

This is the Hi tech Robot hand technology thats going to kill a bunch US!
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=1023
There are no others, there is only us.
http://FastTadpole.com/
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06-24-2011, 03:58 AM,
#2
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
This book was released in 1993:

[Image: 418UetEK%2BPL._SL500_AA300_.jpg]

Quote:Metaman: The Merging of Humans and Machines into a Global Superorganism (ISBN 067170723X) is a 1993 book by author Gregory Stock. The title refers to the concept of a superorganism comprising humanity and its technology.

While many people have had ideas about a global brain, they have tended to suppose that this can be improved or altered by humans according to their will. Metaman can be seen as a development that directs humanity's will to its own ends, whether it likes it or not, through the operation of market forces. While it is difficult to think of making a life-form based on metals that can mine its own 'food', it is possible to imagine a superorganism that incorporates humans as its "cells" and entices them to sustain it (communalness), just as our cells interwork to sustain us.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metaman

These bastards have been working on this for a long time. Might have to start taking this book a bit more seriously:

[Image: how_to_survive_a_robot_uprising.JPG]

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06-25-2011, 10:18 PM, (This post was last modified: 06-25-2011, 10:19 PM by drew hempel.)
#3
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
nice find.
I'll add a quote from Moravec's review for my book:

http://www.frc.ri.cmu.edu/~hpm/project.archive/general.articles/1993/931010.Metaman.review.html

http://naturalresonancerevolution.blogspot.com to download my book.
Reply
06-28-2011, 03:38 PM, (This post was last modified: 06-28-2011, 03:41 PM by JazzRoc.)
#4
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
(06-24-2011, 03:58 AM)R.R Wrote: These bastards have been working on this for a long time. Might have to start taking this book a bit more seriously:
[Image: how_to_survive_a_robot_uprising.JPG]
And earlier work:
"One, a robot may not injure a human being, or through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm;
Two, a robot must obey the orders given it by human beings except where such orders would conflict with the First Law;
Three, a robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Laws."
Isaac Asimov, "Laws of Robotics" from "I. Robot", 1950 US science fiction novelist & scholar (1920 - 1992)

One might ask whether the above laws are to be hard-wired into android brains before android hands grasp weapon systems... or not...
Reply
06-28-2011, 10:04 PM,
#5
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
I'm more worried about remote controlled killing machines than robots.
[Image: randquote.png]
Reply
07-08-2011, 03:44 PM,
#6
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
(06-28-2011, 10:04 PM)yeti Wrote: I'm more worried about remote controlled killing machines than robots.
They are still "at a distance". There will always remain a need for "infantry" - "terminators" - in the minds of those determined to win wars.
Not many human soldiers will be prepared to face (for long) an enemy that is virtually indestructible, only concerned with effective tactics, and yet is as fast-moving and deft as his opponent.
When that happens you can scratch the human.

I'm worried that these weapons will arrive before a world standards organization has regulated general core processor programming in line with Asimov's Laws, a concept that in of itself it seems virtually impossible to encompass, let alone produce.

We'll get the disease first. THEN we'll produce the cure. Sad

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11-18-2011, 02:51 PM,
#7
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
   
preview image

Fullzise Image: http://digg.com/newsbar/science/a_map_that_shows_where_science_might_take_us_by_2021_2
http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/zoom_it/IFTF_SR-1454A_FutureofScience_Map_lg.jpg
There are no others, there is only us.
http://FastTadpole.com/
Reply
11-20-2011, 02:35 PM,
#8
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
The Singularity Summit in Australia: articles, videos and ideas on how to pull off the H+ Movement, Techno Utopia and its Police State RFID chips.

It's "A Vision" alright ..

[Image: singsum_plaque_610x340_main.png]
http://summit2011.singinst.org.au/



Here's another aspect to singularity.. corporate cartels aka the Umbrella Corporation.

Reference link embedded in the image is http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=IBM . A lot of overlap with nearly every big multinational corporation on the planet with those finance companies I recall in previous research I have done.

Reference link embedded in the image is http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=IBM . A lot of overlap with nearly every big multinational corporation on the planet with those finance companies I recall in previous research I have done.

   

The embedded in the image link doesn't source all current company ownership (only IBM) to find that follow these links:

http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=MSFT (Microsoft)
http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=GOOG (Google)
http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=AAPL (Apple)

60-70% of that ownership for all is in mutual funds. The boards for the mutual funds have the voting shares so when people/governments/businesses/pension plans invest in maybe have a look at which stocks make up the because you are giving over your financial assets, thus your power since people have faith currency will get them stuff, to this cartel.

I recall sitting in on a teachers conference where they were considering and a rep from both TD Bank and Microsoft were deployed to pitch their mutual fund package with talk of green incentives and good returns.

Yeah we could do this all day and see the financial overlap ..

http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=HAL (Halliburton)
http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=RTN (Raytheon Corp)
http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=BP (British Petroleum plc)
http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=MON (Monsanto)

Related:

World's Stocks Controlled by Select Few - In Depth SFIT Statistical Analysis Paper
http://concen.org/forum/showthread.php?tid=33816
There are no others, there is only us.
http://FastTadpole.com/
Reply
04-13-2012, 03:30 AM,
#9
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
The Russian Convergent Branch of the Global Technocratic Tyranny.

Quote:Russia 2045: Will the Singularity Be Launched in Russia?
Ben Goertzel
April 12, 2012

For 3 days in late February, Russian businessman Dmitry Itskov gathered 500+ futurists in Moscow for a “Global Future 2045 Congress” – the latest manifestation of his “Russia 2045” movement. The Congress featured an impressive roster of Russian scientists, engineers and visionaries, along with American and West European futurist leaders like Ray Kurzweil, Randal Koene and John Smart.

As Kurzweil noted when I asked him about the conference, “The reference to ‘2045’ comes from my date for the Singularity. The conference was forward looking and was based on my ideas.“

The occurrence of a conference like this in Russia is no big shock, of course. Russia has a huge contingent of great scientists in multiple directly Singularity-relevant areas; and it also has an impressively long history of advanced technological thinking . My dear departed friend Valentin Turchin wrote a book with Singularitarian themes in the late 1960s, and the Russian Cosmists of the early 1900s discussed technological immortality, space colonization and other futurist themes long before they became popular in the West.

On the other hand, the overall social atmosphere in Russia is not so optimistic these days. In fact Russia is seeing a brain drain of sorts – around 1.25 million Russians have left the country in the last decade, including a large number of educated individuals. This is fairly dramatic for a country of 142 million with a death rate significantly higher than its birthrate.

The global economic crisis of 2008 reduced Russia’s GDP to a persistent 3% or so per year, compared to 7-8% beforehand. Russian polling agencies estimate that 20% of Russians are thinking of leaving, with the figure nearly 40% in the 18-25 age bracket.

So on the one hand there’s a struggling economy and brain drain; and on the other hand, a massive brain trust of brilliant scientists and a long tradition of visionary futurist thinking. Taken together, quite an interesting backdrop for Itskov’s event….

And, like the Russian Cosmists before him, Itskov has no lack of grand ambitions. As he told Sander Olsen in an interview last year:

[T]he most important thing is that we want to eliminate death and disease for all—to overcome the limitations of our protein-based body; to find a way out of the chain of various crises our civilization is facing.

As regards the Avatar project … this is a project to create a robot copy of a human that can be operated through the brain-computer interface.

We just talked about the Body B project, which is to create a brain life support system in order to extend human life by 100-200 years.

The Re-Brain project is a purely Russian project to create a computer brain model and a model of the human psyche using the method of reverse engineering, and to develop a way to transfer personality to an artificial carrier.
And Body D is our vision of the evolution of a personality carrier: a body that is like a hologram. This technology is not yet able to be made, but that is how we envision future human bodies.

Exciting visions indeed!

I’m splitting my time between Hong Kong and DC these days, so I’m fairly aware of Singularitarian happenings in the US and China (see e.g. my 2010 article, The Chinese Singularity, and followup comments in this interview). But Russia is largely unknown territory for me – so the Global Future 2045 conference piqued my interest particularly, and I regret I was too busy with work to attend. But I did my best to keep up to speed on the proceedings from a distance.

It’s unclear from the online conference abstracts and other Russia 2045 materials just how much actual work is going in Russia on right now, explicitly oriented toward realizing the exciting visions Itskov describes; and it’s also unclear to what extent Itskov’s “Russia 2045” movement serves an active R&D role, versus a visionary and publicity role. It appears that most of the concrete science and engineering work at the conference was presented by scientists who had made their breakthroughs outside the context of the “Russia 2045” project; whereas Itskov and the other Russia 2045 staff were largely oriented toward high-level visioning. But of course, Russia 2045 is a new initiative, and may potentially draw more researchers into its fold as time progresses.

To get a better sense of the event and the underlying movement, I asked a few friends who spoke at the Russia 2045 Congress to give me their impressions.

Ray Kurzweil gave a fairly glowing report, noting:

“It was a well funded conference, funded by a number of major corporations in Russia….. There was significant representation from the mainstream press. The ideas were taken seriously. There were people from companies, from academe, from government…. The comparison to Humanity+ or the Singularity Summit is reasonable…. The people at the conference (about 500-600) were pretty sophisticated about all the issues you and I talk and write about.”

Dutch neuroscientist, geneticist and mind uploading visionary Randal Koene gave a similar report:

“I was quite positively surprised by GF2045, because it demonstrated an honest dedication and willingness to put effort and resources in. It is much harder for me to judge the quality of project work that is going on in Russia, partly because I had to rely on the translated version of talks given in Russian, and partly because those talks were of course also aimed at the general public attending and not very full of concrete details.

“The conference content seemed evenly split between an emphasis on seeing the big picture (by inviting many speakers from the “Big History” teaching movement) and scientific/technical/ transhumanist topics. From the latter, the types of subjects that were presented were similar in scope and ambition to those that would be presented at the Singularity Summit, H+ Conferences or AGI (although AI was really not the focus of this particular congress).

“I think that the general arc of thinking is similar to that which we find the US and Europe, though I noted quite a few instances where Russian notables had apparently invented or come up with theories or ideas that were in many ways similar to those found elsewhere, but arrived at somewhat differently.”


Randal also made an acute and perhaps important observation about the relative openness of Russian government officials to listen to Singularitarian ideas:

“I think there is a place where Russia may be ahead of the US and certainly Europe: There appears to be in governing circles of Russia a greater willingness / readiness to talk about and contemplate as serious possibilities some of the goals and topics that still do not really reach the upper echelons in the US or Europe. That doesn’t mean that the majority of those with governing clout are in favor, but there are at least some who dare to be seen considering the topics.

“I don’t think that there is any official positive position in Russian government about transhumanist memes. But it seems more discussable. By contrast, look at the US, where much of the debate is dominated by religious issues.”

Finally, to get a Russian view of the event, I talked to Danila Medvedev, a Russian futurologist specializing in the science and future of Russia. I knew Danila as a leader of the Russian transhumanist movement, and a founder and director of KrioRus, the first cryonics company outside of the United States. I asked Danila what he thought about Randal Koene’s take on the Russian government’s openness to transhumanist themes, and he replied that, in his view:

“The power structure includes a few people who are aware, but in general they are anti-progress and there is no actual support whatsoever. Russia-2045 is not a mainstream group, but neither it is a fringe group.”

About the Congress itself, Danila was a bit less enthusiastic than Kurzweil and Koene, noting that “I didn’t see anything impressive at the congress … nothing groundbreaking…. “ However, he went on to note that, in Russia:

“transhumanist thinking is relatively widespread. Many people are aware of these ideas and openly support them, including Members of Parliament, such as Mitrofanov, Pligin, etc. The Russian Transhumanist Movement is quite well organized, has an office in the center of Moscow, a number of large interesting projects, such as KrioRus and others. The organization has good standing, some supporters and has attracted significant media attention. Tech and science are poorly developed for a number of reasons (but there is a number of pioneering projects). For instance, thanks to our projects, such as the Diagram of Human Aging project and other projects, science and technology for dealing with aging is quite advanced (world leading in some respects).”

What’s the overall take-away? As often, it’s apropos to quote Churchill on Russia:

“It is a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma.”

Clearly there are many smart scientists and engineers in Russia doing directly Singularity-relevant things; and Itskov’s Russia 2045 organization seems to be doing a good job of attracting public and political attention to this work. What amount of concrete work is actually going on toward Itskov’s list of grand goals is unclear to me at present, but certainly seems something to keep an eye on.

And it’s also worth remembering the full Churchill quote:

“I cannot forecast to you the action of Russia. It is a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma; but perhaps there is a key. That key is Russian national interest.”

The relative openness of the Russian political establishment to Singularitarian ideas is an interesting fact to keep in mind. If this establishment decides that putting a lot of money into the development of highly advanced technologies is in Russia’s national interest, we could see some very interesting things happen in that part of the world. There is as yet no clear evidence that such a decision will be made; but the relatively high level of acceptance given by various government higher-ups to the ideas at the Russia 2045 conference, is at least mildly suggestive in this direction.

While the US, Japan and Europe still play a dominant role in most directly Singularity-relevant technologies, and the 21st century is widely perceived to be shaping up as a Pacific century, Russia may prove a major actor on the Singularity stage as well.
http://hplusmagazine.com/2012/03/29/russia-2045-will-the-singularity-be-launched-in-russia/
http://ieet.org/index.php/IEET/more/goertzel201204121

Welcome to the Global Future 2045



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9wEZsSIpypg
More video: http://www.gf2045.com/
There are no others, there is only us.
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06-08-2013, 05:29 PM,
#10
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World and One That Won't
The Goal is called by Ray Kurzweil as The Singularity. Its functioning concept is "Cybernation" by the Venus Project//Zeitgeist Movement and uses AI to operate.

   

h/t Carl Cord
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01-28-2014, 05:53 PM,
#11
RE: The Singularity: Five Technologies That Will Change the World (and One That Won't)
As if this "internet of Things" wasn't invasive enough already. I feel the threat of viruses and malware will prompt the agenda to centralize computing into a application layer whitelist for applications and devices (sort of like the iPhone / AppStore model) allowing a few corporations and organizations to tell you what you can use on the internet. It almost feels like there is no opt out either since so much of this is being embedded in modern society.

Quote:Internet of things will lead to 'malware on your personal life', warns AVG's CTO
By Sooraj Shah
28 Jan 2014

The ‘Internet of Things' phenomenon based on consumers using a number of smart devices that are connected to the web, will result in a situation where people may feel like they have "malware on their lives and on their personal data", according to AVG Technologies CTO, Yuval Ben-Itzhak.

In an interview with Computing, Ben-Itzhak said that as devices are becoming increasingly interconnected and hooked up to the web, criminals will be looking at how to exploit the data that is available to them.

Earlier this month, Proofpoint claimed that the first evidence of an internet-of-things cyber attack has been discovered. It said that the attack involved the use of botnets to send more than 750,000 malicious phishing and spam emails from domestic appliances as part of a wider campaign.

And Ben-Itzhak said that as new items such as smart fridges, smoke detectors, washing machines and health monitoring devices become mainstream, people should be wary as their data may be of interest to criminal gangs who could try to work out when you're likely to be in the house or not - and to health insurance firms who could pay to know exactly what your health is like.

But while these new devices pose a security risk, Ben-Itzhak said that it is the right time for these devices to come onto the market, as they are able to get the support to be truly ‘smart'.

"The idea of smart homes has been around for 20 years, but now is the right time to make it happen because we have smartphones, Wi-Fi and cellular networks... before people thought of a smart home as being able to dim the lights with a remote, or for the garage door to automatically open when the car reaches the drive way," he said.

He added that the phenomenon was likely to continue at Mobile World Congress (MWC) after many of the products launched at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) led the way to a "new smart home reality". He said companies, such as Google, which acquired smart appliances firm Nest Labs this month, are now taking the smart home seriously.

But it isn't just technology firms that are embracing the idea of a smart home or life - car manufacturers such as BMW, Audi and Renault have shown a keen interest too, said Ben-Itzhak.

"Connected cars in which you can stream music through the cloud is something we've heard about, but there is an idea for parents to perhaps give their kids the car when they go to a bar and be able to measure what their alcohol level is after going out. Then, the parent has the option of stopping the car or calling their kids," he said.

"These cars are getting exciting and smarter, using data outside of the car inside, and vice versa. The new reality is aimed at making life easier and more enjoyable, and [AVG] is looking at how we can manage it and control it, and what the risks are going to be," he added.

How will this affect the enterprise?

AVG's CTO believes that enterprises face a big challenge in ensuring that their employees' devices are safe to use in the workplace.

He said that smart devices, particularly wearables and smartphones, will always be on employees, and envisaged two applications that a phone could be used for that companies should be wary of, particularly if hackers are able to tap into an unsuspecting employee.

"If a hacker found out a smartphone was going to be used in a government facility, for example, they could make a mic automatically turn on when the user is playing Angry Birds, and send a stream of data out to turn it into a spying device.

"Of course, the secret services would probably ban all employee devices, but for a larger enterprise that does allow employees to bring their own devices for personal or work use, this could be a problem. For example, if the hacker knew a company was going to have an earnings call and they're interested in their stock - they could turn on the mic of the CFO, and hear all of the preparation meetings before the call. You have to ask what this could mean for a public company," he said.

Ben-Itzhak gave another example of a smartphone's camera being used to capture pictures so that someone could receive a number of pictures and put together what the office looks like - perhaps aiding some form of criminal activity.

"People cannot avoid having smart devices on them, and it is giving them value so we don't want to stop it, we want to be able to manage it," he said.
http://www.computing.co.uk/ctg/news/2325334/internet-of-things-will-lead-to-malware-on-your-personal-life-warns-avgs-cto

FTA:

Cyber attack launched through fridge as internet-of-things vulnerabilities become apparent
http://www.computing.co.uk/ctg/news/2323661/cyber-attack-launched-through-fridge-as-internet-of-things-vulnerabilities-become-apparent
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