Linking climate change to the Japan quake/tsunami

[Melchor]

(03-27-2011 02:16 AM)hubbabubba Wrote:  

(03-26-2011 06:57 AM)Melchor Wrote:  I have seen much demagoguery pro and con but I can't really make a decision based on that.

I would like to add another perspective to the question at hand. The personal experience, or gnosis. Look outside your window. What's happening in your reality? Statistics and graphs, all fine in the scientific perspective, but can you trust the science? Maybe it's falsified or skewed. Best to check with your own reality first.

That's really a bad argument. First, memory is much less reliable than you might think. Particularly when you are going by memories of early life when you didn't have perspective or experience. Additionally variability is a huge part of weather patterns so just making assumptions anecdotally over short time slices over specific locales is an extremely unsound form of empiricism. You are assuming that your experiential memory is reliable over time and that there is a uniform weather over space. Neither of those assumptions are reliable because your data set is much too small (over time and space) and based on extremely malleable subjective memory.